Friday, 2 May 2025

The electorate may be conservative but the oligarchy is not.

 The life conservatism of the electorate is incompatible with:

1.  the greed of the oligarchy

2.  the ambition of bureaucrats, in particular of the state bureaucracy 

3.  (a long way behind) the dreams of millenialists both secular and religious.

 Hence the ongoing erosion and finally destruction of democracy.

Tuesday, 18 February 2025

The Annals of Modern Rome

 "So corrupted indeed and debased was that age by sycophancy that not only the foremost citizens who were forced to save their grandeur by servility, but every ex-consul, most of the ex-prætors and a host of inferior senators would rise in eager rivalry to propose shameful and preposterous motions. Tradition says that Tiberius as often as he left the Senate-House used to exclaim in Greek, “How ready these men are to be slaves.”

(Tacitus, from The Annals - but where?) 


We note:

1,  One Republican Representative from North Carolina has proposed a bill in the House to rename Washington DC's Dulles airport  after Trump.

2.  Another from Florida has proposed  a bill to add Trump to the U.S. presidents  commemorated on Mount Rushmore in South Dakota.

 3.  Another allegedly has proposed making Trump's birthday a public holiday. 

This for a convicted fraudster and civilly adjudicated sexual assailant.

4.  Mark Zuckerberg, not a Congressman but a top-notch oligarch listened (again allegedly) to a rendition of the U.S national anthem sung by pardoned insurrectionists from the 6th January 2021 attempt to overthrow the result of the 2020 election, with his hand on his heart (of course).  Maybe he was crying as well.

All this in a country that knows neither King nor any Lord save God.

 

Thursday, 30 January 2025

Democracy is the child of mass warfare; prolonged peace leads to oligarchy.

Democracy is the child of mass warfare; prolonged peace leads to oligarchy.

 (Thoughts originally prompted by an article on Crooked Timber today, 30/01/2025, about the death of NATO and the post-WWII order generally).

The American aim after the fall of the Soviet Union was to force ruling classes the world over to cooperate,using American rules, on American terms and under American leadership.  In return, these ruling classes could make money and keep it - the Americans would hold back from shaking them down.  of course, they would do it a bit, but not too much - other people could make and keep money even in the U.S.  The inevitable and perhaps desired consequence of this was a general shift towards oligarchy.

Why so? Because the official public sphere was, to bourgeois eyes, contaminated by popular involvement.  As much as possible was therefore removed from it, and hidden behind a veil of technical jargon or outright secrecy.  Here elites could gut democracy, at an increasing rate to a point where its name becomes an object of derision.

It turns out though that the rulers of China and Russia never accepted the American deal, and want to end it.  In the case of China this was always blindingly obvious except apparently to American policy makers in the 1990s and early 20-noughties. In the case of Russia, a much weaker country, I find it more surprising, possibly because I know nothing about Russia.  Thinking about the self-deceptions the UK spins to persuade itself it still sits at the top table, maybe I should not be surprised.  Russia no more than Britain had a purging 1945.  For whatever reason both countries challenge the US, with the challenge offered by China apparently now worrying American elites.  It is possible therefore that these will once more feel the need to woo their common people and maybe this will be enough to halt, at least for a while, the slide to oligarchy.



Thursday, 14 November 2024

Renouncing the Ring

 I find it increasingly difficult to believe that Trump will renounce power when his presidential term ends in January 2028, despite the perfectly legal manner of his election:


1.  Biden not only broke his pre-election pledge to be a one-term president but did so in the face of  private polls , taken not much more that a year before the election, showing that Trump would beat him in a landslide.  Nine months later, in the face of disastrous public polling, panicking Democrats tried and failed to persuade him to stand down.  Finally, the deft Nancy Pelosi found the magic formula (maybe a warning that Trump after beating him would want to take revenge for his legal difficulties on Biden's son?).  Biden did stand aside, but he obviously found it almost impossible to do so.  Trump is not given to controlling his baser instincts.

2.  Trump's cabinet appointments, and especially Matt Gaetz as Attorney General.  If this is not a loyalty test for Republican U.S. Senators [update 30/01/2025 which they refused to pass], it is surely an attempt to turn the DOJ into Trump's personal tool, for persecuting people who have crossed him since he lost the presidency no doubt, but when the time comes to find reason why Trump can remain in office.  Also maybe to create a potential MAGA leader in opposition to Vice President Vance.

Then also his track record last time and perhaps fear of what his opponents would do if he stood down.

 

Further update of 30/01/2025 - the sweeping pardon for the 6th Jan Capitol Hill rioters makes it even harder for me to believe that Trump will meekly leave he White House in 2029.  He has the same problem Caesar did - only political office can keep him out of the courts.

 

Wednesday, 6 November 2024

The Fall of the New Roman Republic

I thought Trump would be the Catiline of the new Rome, but now he has regained the White House he looks more like its Sulla.

Sunday, 19 May 2024

Trotsky and the NAR.

 NAR doctrines of an elite army of unbelievers taking dominion over unbelievers are Bolshevism with 'proletariat' replaced by 'Jesus'.

Tuesday, 9 April 2024

 The aim of every entrepreneur is to become a rentier, and the aim of every rentier to become a robber.